The U.S. Justice Department is advancing federal charges against former Cuban President Raúl Castro tied to the 1996 downing of two civilian planes operated by the Brothers to the Rescue group, which killed four Cuban Americans. Multiple officials familiar with the matter report that prosecutors expect to unseal an indictment in Miami as early as May 20, reflecting stepped-up pressure on Havana under the current administration. This development, rooted in longstanding demands from Cuban-American lawmakers and victims’ families, accounts for the elevated trader consensus on an affirmative outcome. The case would require grand jury approval, and any final announcement could still face procedural or diplomatic adjustments before resolution.