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Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

icon for Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

32% peluang
Polymarket

$54,795 Vol.

32% peluang
Polymarket

$54,795 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the outright market as slight favorites, backed by elite squad depth, recent strong qualifying campaigns, and proven knockout-stage experience among their core players. England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely with similar pedigrees, while Portugal represents the strongest first-time contender yet trails in implied probability. The expanded 48-team format and favorable paths for top seeds further tilt outcomes toward established powers, whose historical dominance in finals and superior talent pools outweigh momentum from unproven sides. Recent power rankings and simulations consistently highlight these gaps in consistency and match-winning quality.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$54,795
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France lead the outright market as slight favorites, backed by elite squad depth, recent strong qualifying campaigns, and proven knockout-stage experience among their core players. England, Brazil, and Argentina follow closely with similar pedigrees, while Portugal represents the strongest first-time contender yet trails in implied probability. The expanded 48-team format and favorable paths for top seeds further tilt outcomes toward established powers, whose historical dominance in finals and superior talent pools outweigh momentum from unproven sides. Recent power rankings and simulations consistently highlight these gaps in consistency and match-winning quality.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$54,795
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is a nation that has never previously won a FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, the nations that have previously won a FIFA World Cup are: Uruguay, Italy, Germany, Brazil, England, Argentina, France, and Spain. If the 2026 champion is any nation other than these eight, this market resolves “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 32% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 32¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 32% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $54.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 5, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?" adalah 32% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 32% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.