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Olahraga·Serangan Balik 2

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

icon for Will Aurora make a roster change before July?
Olahraga·Serangan Balik 2

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

18% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
18% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aurora's CS2 roster has stabilized following the shock April signing of the full Eternal Fire lineup alongside coach Fabre, featuring MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. This overhaul produced consistent results in closed qualifiers for BLAST Slam IV and regional events, with no official announcements, trial signings, or roster leaks emerging in the past 30 days despite early speculation around post-Cologne adjustments. Traders assign an 82.5% implied probability to no further changes before July, reflecting the wisdom of crowds favoring continuity and team synergy ahead of the June Major rather than additional mid-cycle disruption. Recent form and the absence of confirmed injuries or performance dips reinforce expectations of roster stability through the summer window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 8, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aurora's CS2 roster has stabilized following the shock April signing of the full Eternal Fire lineup alongside coach Fabre, featuring MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. This overhaul produced consistent results in closed qualifiers for BLAST Slam IV and regional events, with no official announcements, trial signings, or roster leaks emerging in the past 30 days despite early speculation around post-Cologne adjustments. Traders assign an 82.5% implied probability to no further changes before July, reflecting the wisdom of crowds favoring continuity and team synergy ahead of the June Major rather than additional mid-cycle disruption. Recent form and the absence of confirmed injuries or performance dips reinforce expectations of roster stability through the summer window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV.

Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster.

The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$128
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 8, 2026, 10:28 AM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Aurora's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Aurora" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/11861/aurora#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: MAJ3R, XANTARES, woxic, soulfly, and Wicadia. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Aurora make a roster change before July?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 18% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 18¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 18% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Aurora make a roster change before July?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 8, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Aurora make a roster change before July?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Aurora make a roster change before July?" adalah 18% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 18% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Aurora make a roster change before July?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.