Skip to main content
icon for Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

icon for Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

15% peluang
Polymarket

$36,134 Vol.

15% peluang
Polymarket

$36,134 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat in the June 9 primary after Governor Janet Mills withdrew, defeating remaining opponents by a wide margin and advancing to face incumbent Republican Susan Collins in November. Despite earlier controversies over past online statements and a tattoo, Platner has repeatedly stated he will remain in the race, backed by strong progressive and grassroots support that showed little erosion in primary voting. Some national Democrats have expressed private concerns or called for his exit before the July candidate-replacement deadline, yet no formal pressure or health developments have emerged to alter his position. Traders therefore assign an 85.5% implied probability that he stays on the ballot through the midterms, reflecting the absence of any recent catalyst strong enough to force a withdrawal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,134
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat in the June 9 primary after Governor Janet Mills withdrew, defeating remaining opponents by a wide margin and advancing to face incumbent Republican Susan Collins in November. Despite earlier controversies over past online statements and a tattoo, Platner has repeatedly stated he will remain in the race, backed by strong progressive and grassroots support that showed little erosion in primary voting. Some national Democrats have expressed private concerns or called for his exit before the July candidate-replacement deadline, yet no formal pressure or health developments have emerged to alter his position. Traders therefore assign an 85.5% implied probability that he stays on the ballot through the midterms, reflecting the absence of any recent catalyst strong enough to force a withdrawal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,134
Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 14% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 14¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 14% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?" telah menghasilkan $36.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 8, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?" adalah 14% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 14% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.