Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary after early leads eroded during extended mail-in ballot counting that delivered a roughly 3.5% margin to Nithya Raman for second place behind Karen Bass. Trader positioning reflects the June 12 social-media video in which Pratt stated the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending without contesting certified results or alleging irregularities, despite external claims of issues. The statement also signaled continued activism outside formal campaign rules. Resolution hinges on whether the video meets the market’s definition of a concession statement before the listed cutoff; any subsequent formal concession or explicit non-concession could shift implied probabilities. No further primary-related procedural deadlines remain within the immediate resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$18,353 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
June 15
27%
July 2
54%
$18,353 Vol.
June 15
$10,417 Vol.
27%
July 2
$3,311 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary after early leads eroded during extended mail-in ballot counting that delivered a roughly 3.5% margin to Nithya Raman for second place behind Karen Bass. Trader positioning reflects the June 12 social-media video in which Pratt stated the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending without contesting certified results or alleging irregularities, despite external claims of issues. The statement also signaled continued activism outside formal campaign rules. Resolution hinges on whether the video meets the market’s definition of a concession statement before the listed cutoff; any subsequent formal concession or explicit non-concession could shift implied probabilities. No further primary-related procedural deadlines remain within the immediate resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Volume
$18,353Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary after early leads eroded during extended mail-in ballot counting that delivered a roughly 3.5% margin to Nithya Raman for second place behind Karen Bass. Trader positioning reflects the June 12 social-media video in which Pratt stated the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending without contesting certified results or alleging irregularities, despite external claims of issues. The statement also signaled continued activism outside formal campaign rules. Resolution hinges on whether the video meets the market’s definition of a concession statement before the listed cutoff; any subsequent formal concession or explicit non-concession could shift implied probabilities. No further primary-related procedural deadlines remain within the immediate resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$18,353Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary after early leads eroded during extended mail-in ballot counting that delivered a roughly 3.5% margin to Nithya Raman for second place behind Karen Bass. Trader positioning reflects the June 12 social-media video in which Pratt stated the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending without contesting certified results or alleging irregularities, despite external claims of issues. The statement also signaled continued activism outside formal campaign rules. Resolution hinges on whether the video meets the market’s definition of a concession statement before the listed cutoff; any subsequent formal concession or explicit non-concession could shift implied probabilities. No further primary-related procedural deadlines remain within the immediate resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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