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World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

icon for World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?
Olahraga·Sepak Bola

World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?

Made

80% peluang
Polymarket
BARU

Made

80% peluang
Polymarket
BARU
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Historical conversion rates for penalty kicks in World Cup matches since 1978 stand at 79.1% during regular and extra time, directly aligning with the current trader consensus on this outcome. This reflects the controlled execution of spot kicks, where skilled takers face isolated goalkeepers under standardized conditions that favor scoring over misses across diverse matchups and surfaces. No specific team news, injuries, or form shifts apply yet, as the tournament opens without prior penalties taken, leaving the implied probability anchored in long-term patterns rather than short-term variables. Rule adjustments for 2026, including expanded VAR reviews, introduce minor uncertainty but have not materially altered expectations for initial spot-kick success.

This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.

The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,070
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Historical conversion rates for penalty kicks in World Cup matches since 1978 stand at 79.1% during regular and extra time, directly aligning with the current trader consensus on this outcome. This reflects the controlled execution of spot kicks, where skilled takers face isolated goalkeepers under standardized conditions that favor scoring over misses across diverse matchups and surfaces. No specific team news, injuries, or form shifts apply yet, as the tournament opens without prior penalties taken, leaving the implied probability anchored in long-term patterns rather than short-term variables. Rule adjustments for 2026, including expanded VAR reviews, introduce minor uncertainty but have not materially altered expectations for initial spot-kick success.

This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.

The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,070
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved. The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" di 80%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 80¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jun 7, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" adalah "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" di 80%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 80% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.