Spain enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, talented squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedri, and other Euro 2024 standouts under Luis de la Fuente, which supports the market's 17% implied probability for a title run and 14.5% for semifinals. Recent injury recoveries and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay reduce the chance of an early group-stage exit to just 2.9%. Trader consensus around a round-of-16 or quarterfinal exit reflects the competitive nature of the expanded knockout bracket, where strong European and South American sides create realistic barriers despite Spain's recent form and roster quality.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWorld Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination
Round of 32 21%
Round of 16 20%
Champion 17%
Semifinals 15%
Round of 32
21%
Round of 16
20%
Champion
17%
Semifinals
15%
Quarterfinals
14%
Final
11%
Group Stage
3%
Round of 32 21%
Round of 16 20%
Champion 17%
Semifinals 15%
Round of 32
21%
Round of 16
20%
Champion
17%
Semifinals
15%
Quarterfinals
14%
Final
11%
Group Stage
3%
If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 5, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spain enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, talented squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Rodri, Pedri, and other Euro 2024 standouts under Luis de la Fuente, which supports the market's 17% implied probability for a title run and 14.5% for semifinals. Recent injury recoveries and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay reduce the chance of an early group-stage exit to just 2.9%. Trader consensus around a round-of-16 or quarterfinal exit reflects the competitive nature of the expanded knockout bracket, where strong European and South American sides create realistic barriers despite Spain's recent form and roster quality.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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