The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act (DSA) through fines and mandated compliance measures, rather than outright platform bans, is the main driver keeping the odds of X facing prohibition in any EU country by year-end at a market-implied 35.5% chance of occurring. X responded to its December 2025 €120 million penalty for deceptive blue checkmarks and transparency shortfalls by proposing fixes to its verification system and filing an appeal, while continuing to publish DSA transparency reports and restrict illegal content on a per-country basis. National proposals for teen social media limits in Spain and Greece have prompted the Commission to accelerate harmonized age-verification rules that raise procedural hurdles for unilateral bans. Traders see these dynamics, plus X's active remedies and lack of escalation to full shutdown proceedings, as evidence that regulatory pressure will stay targeted at content moderation and data access rather than prohibition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$10,413 Vol.
$10,413 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,413 Vol.
$10,413 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act (DSA) through fines and mandated compliance measures, rather than outright platform bans, is the main driver keeping the odds of X facing prohibition in any EU country by year-end at a market-implied 35.5% chance of occurring. X responded to its December 2025 €120 million penalty for deceptive blue checkmarks and transparency shortfalls by proposing fixes to its verification system and filing an appeal, while continuing to publish DSA transparency reports and restrict illegal content on a per-country basis. National proposals for teen social media limits in Spain and Greece have prompted the Commission to accelerate harmonized age-verification rules that raise procedural hurdles for unilateral bans. Traders see these dynamics, plus X's active remedies and lack of escalation to full shutdown proceedings, as evidence that regulatory pressure will stay targeted at content moderation and data access rather than prohibition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$10,413Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act (DSA) through fines and mandated compliance measures, rather than outright platform bans, is the main driver keeping the odds of X facing prohibition in any EU country by year-end at a market-implied 35.5% chance of occurring. X responded to its December 2025 €120 million penalty for deceptive blue checkmarks and transparency shortfalls by proposing fixes to its verification system and filing an appeal, while continuing to publish DSA transparency reports and restrict illegal content on a per-country basis. National proposals for teen social media limits in Spain and Greece have prompted the Commission to accelerate harmonized age-verification rules that raise procedural hurdles for unilateral bans. Traders see these dynamics, plus X's active remedies and lack of escalation to full shutdown proceedings, as evidence that regulatory pressure will stay targeted at content moderation and data access rather than prohibition.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,413Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act (DSA) through fines and mandated compliance measures, rather than outright platform bans, is the main driver keeping the odds of X facing prohibition in any EU country by year-end at a market-implied 35.5% chance of occurring. X responded to its December 2025 €120 million penalty for deceptive blue checkmarks and transparency shortfalls by proposing fixes to its verification system and filing an appeal, while continuing to publish DSA transparency reports and restrict illegal content on a per-country basis. National proposals for teen social media limits in Spain and Greece have prompted the Commission to accelerate harmonized age-verification rules that raise procedural hurdles for unilateral bans. Traders see these dynamics, plus X's active remedies and lack of escalation to full shutdown proceedings, as evidence that regulatory pressure will stay targeted at content moderation and data access rather than prohibition.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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