**Traders view the 2026 ESPY Best Record-Breaking Performance category as a virtual toss-up, with nominees clustered near 50% implied probability.** Myles Garrett’s NFL single-season sack record (23 in 2025), Megan Grant’s NCAA softball home-run mark, Johannes Høsflot Klæbo’s six Winter Olympic golds (including multiple 2026 medals), and Sabastian Sawe’s first official sub-two-hour marathon (1:59:30 at London 2026) each represent landmark achievements across major sports. The even pricing reflects subjective voter weighting of context—professional league dominance versus Olympic or world-record prestige—plus the brief window before the July 15 ceremony. No late surge from guild-style precursors or public campaigns has emerged to separate the field, leaving the outcome dependent on how ESPY voters balance historical significance against recency and sport visibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSabastian Sawe 50%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo 49%
Myles Garrett 49%
Megan Grant 48%
Sabastian Sawe
50%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo
49%
Myles Garrett
49%
Megan Grant
48%
Sabastian Sawe 50%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo 49%
Myles Garrett 49%
Megan Grant 48%
Sabastian Sawe
50%
Johannes Høsflot Klæbo
49%
Myles Garrett
49%
Megan Grant
48%
This market will resolve according to the listed nominee who wins the award for Best Record-breaking Performance at the 2026 ESPY Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the 2026 ESPY Awards and the official ESPN website (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 6, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed nominee who wins the award for Best Record-breaking Performance at the 2026 ESPY Awards.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contender whose name comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the 2026 ESPY Awards and the official ESPN website (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders view the 2026 ESPY Best Record-Breaking Performance category as a virtual toss-up, with nominees clustered near 50% implied probability.** Myles Garrett’s NFL single-season sack record (23 in 2025), Megan Grant’s NCAA softball home-run mark, Johannes Høsflot Klæbo’s six Winter Olympic golds (including multiple 2026 medals), and Sabastian Sawe’s first official sub-two-hour marathon (1:59:30 at London 2026) each represent landmark achievements across major sports. The even pricing reflects subjective voter weighting of context—professional league dominance versus Olympic or world-record prestige—plus the brief window before the July 15 ceremony. No late surge from guild-style precursors or public campaigns has emerged to separate the field, leaving the outcome dependent on how ESPY voters balance historical significance against recency and sport visibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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