France, Spain, and England lead the implied probabilities in this 48-team field because recent European Championship form and deep attacking options have kept them atop power rankings just 30 days from kickoff. Spain’s tactical cohesion and unbeaten run in competitive fixtures underpin their second-place standing, while France benefits from squad depth despite minor injury concerns. Argentina’s title defense and Brazil’s attacking pedigree keep South American hopes alive, yet neither has pulled clear amid limited recent head-to-head dominance. England’s back-to-back major-final appearances add consistency, but the tight clustering among the top six reflects widespread recognition that any of several contenders can navigate the expanded bracket and group-stage schedule.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 18.3%
Spagna 16.7%
Inghilterra 11.3%
Brasile 9.2%
$1,012,228,628 Vol.
$1,012,228,628 Vol.

Francia
18%

Spagna
17%

Inghilterra
11%

Brasile
9%

Argentina
8%

Portogallo
8%

Germania
5%

Paesi Bassi
3%

Norvegia
2%

Giappone
2%

Belgio
2%

Colombia
2%

Stati Uniti
2%

Marocco
2%

Svizzera
1%

Uruguay
1%

Messico
1%

Croazia
1%

Ecuador
1%

Senegal
1%

Turchia
1%

Austria
1%

Svezia
1%

Canada
<1%

Corea del Sud
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Scozia
<1%

Costa d'Avorio
<1%

Egitto
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algeria
<1%

Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%

Cechia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nuova Zelanda
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Giordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Tunisia
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Iraq
<1%

Sudafrica
<1%

Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%

Capo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabia Saudita
<1%
Francia 18.3%
Spagna 16.7%
Inghilterra 11.3%
Brasile 9.2%
$1,012,228,628 Vol.
$1,012,228,628 Vol.

Francia
18%

Spagna
17%

Inghilterra
11%

Brasile
9%

Argentina
8%

Portogallo
8%

Germania
5%

Paesi Bassi
3%

Norvegia
2%

Giappone
2%

Belgio
2%

Colombia
2%

Stati Uniti
2%

Marocco
2%

Svizzera
1%

Uruguay
1%

Messico
1%

Croazia
1%

Ecuador
1%

Senegal
1%

Turchia
1%

Austria
1%

Svezia
1%

Canada
<1%

Corea del Sud
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Scozia
<1%

Costa d'Avorio
<1%

Egitto
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algeria
<1%

Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%

Cechia
<1%

Australia
<1%

Nuova Zelanda
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Giordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Iran
<1%

Tunisia
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Iraq
<1%

Sudafrica
<1%

Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%

Capo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France, Spain, and England lead the implied probabilities in this 48-team field because recent European Championship form and deep attacking options have kept them atop power rankings just 30 days from kickoff. Spain’s tactical cohesion and unbeaten run in competitive fixtures underpin their second-place standing, while France benefits from squad depth despite minor injury concerns. Argentina’s title defense and Brazil’s attacking pedigree keep South American hopes alive, yet neither has pulled clear amid limited recent head-to-head dominance. England’s back-to-back major-final appearances add consistency, but the tight clustering among the top six reflects widespread recognition that any of several contenders can navigate the expanded bracket and group-stage schedule.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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