The strong trader consensus against a magnitude 9.0 or greater earthquake before 2027 reflects the extreme rarity of such megaquakes, which occur on average once every decade or longer globally according to USGS historical catalogs. No subduction zone currently shows the prolonged seismic precursors, slow-slip events, or elevated strain accumulation that typically precede these events, and monitoring data through mid-2026 indicate background activity levels only. The brief remaining window further lowers odds, as even high-probability regions like the Cascadia or Japan trenches rarely produce threshold events on such short timescales. An unexpected cluster of foreshocks or revised fault models could alter this assessment if detected in coming months.