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icon for L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?

L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?

icon for L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?

L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?

22% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

22% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).**Alaska voters will decide Ballot Measure 2 on November 3, 2026, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system adopted by a narrow 2020 initiative and restore partisan primaries plus traditional single-choice general elections.** A similar repeal effort in 2024 failed by just 737 votes out of roughly 321,000 cast (49.9% Yes, 50.1% No), prompting supporters to restart signature gathering; the current measure qualified after verification of over 42,000 valid signatures in late 2025. The initiative also repeals 2020 campaign-finance disclosure rules requiring “true source” reporting for contributions over $2,000 routed through intermediaries. Opponents of repeal (No on 2) have raised more than $5.5 million, while repeal supporters (Repeal Now) have raised roughly $750,000–$1.1 million despite large outside contributions, including $1.5 million from Elon Musk disclosed in August 2026. Public hearings occurred in July and August 2026, and the measure appears alongside another initiative on campaign contribution limits. Traders’ 77.5% implied probability that the measure fails reflects the 2024 precedent, stronger organized opposition, and the added controversy over transparency provisions, though the outcome remains subject to turnout, final spending, and voter sentiment in the closing weeks of the campaign.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Volume
$21
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).**Alaska voters will decide Ballot Measure 2 on November 3, 2026, which would repeal the top-four open primary and ranked-choice voting system adopted by a narrow 2020 initiative and restore partisan primaries plus traditional single-choice general elections.** A similar repeal effort in 2024 failed by just 737 votes out of roughly 321,000 cast (49.9% Yes, 50.1% No), prompting supporters to restart signature gathering; the current measure qualified after verification of over 42,000 valid signatures in late 2025. The initiative also repeals 2020 campaign-finance disclosure rules requiring “true source” reporting for contributions over $2,000 routed through intermediaries. Opponents of repeal (No on 2) have raised more than $5.5 million, while repeal supporters (Repeal Now) have raised roughly $750,000–$1.1 million despite large outside contributions, including $1.5 million from Elon Musk disclosed in August 2026. Public hearings occurred in July and August 2026, and the measure appears alongside another initiative on campaign contribution limits. Traders’ 77.5% implied probability that the measure fails reflects the 2024 precedent, stronger organized opposition, and the added controversy over transparency provisions, though the outcome remains subject to turnout, final spending, and voter sentiment in the closing weeks of the campaign.

Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Volume
$21
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).

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"L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "L'Alaska approva il referendum per abrogare il voto a scelta classificata?" a 23%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 23¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 21, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?" è "L'Alaska approva il referendum per abrogare il voto a scelta classificata?" a 23%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 23% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "L'Alaska passa la misura di voto che abroga il voto a scelta classificata?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.