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Politica·Argentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Politica·Argentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$66,155 Vol.

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$66,155 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$26,231 Vol.

49%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,477 Vol.

33%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,026 Vol.

5%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,444 Vol.

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,145 Vol.

3%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,964 Vol.

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,929 Vol.

3%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,305 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,813 Vol.

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,643 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Incumbent President Javier Milei's 48.5% trader consensus leads early 2027 presidential election odds, buoyed by midterm triumphs in October 2025 and recent polls showing him ahead 38-60% in runoffs, despite April approval dipping to 35% amid rising unemployment and economic strain. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof's 33% reflects Peronist reorganization, with his April 22 assumption of provincial party leadership unifying opposition forces eyeing an October 24, 2027 ballot. May surveys like RDT Consultores depict tight scenarios (Milei 38%, Kicillof 34%), while fragmented fields limit others like Dante Gebel (5.1%) or Sergio Massa (3.3%) to niche support, highlighting a bipolar contest shaped by Milei's re-election bid and Peronist revival.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$66,155
Data di fine
24 ott 2027
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Incumbent President Javier Milei's 48.5% trader consensus leads early 2027 presidential election odds, buoyed by midterm triumphs in October 2025 and recent polls showing him ahead 38-60% in runoffs, despite April approval dipping to 35% amid rising unemployment and economic strain. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof's 33% reflects Peronist reorganization, with his April 22 assumption of provincial party leadership unifying opposition forces eyeing an October 24, 2027 ballot. May surveys like RDT Consultores depict tight scenarios (Milei 38%, Kicillof 34%), while fragmented fields limit others like Dante Gebel (5.1%) or Sergio Massa (3.3%) to niche support, highlighting a bipolar contest shaped by Milei's re-election bid and Peronist revival.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$66,155
Data di fine
24 ott 2027
Mercato aperto
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Javier Milei" a 49%, seguito da "Axel Kicillof" a 33%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 49¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ha generato $66.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 1, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Argentina Presidential Election Winner", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" è "Javier Milei" a 49%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Axel Kicillof" a 33%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.