Harry Kane's record-shattering 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich, featuring 73 goals and 81 goal involvements across competitions plus Bundesliga and European Golden Shoe honors, underpins his 59.4% implied probability as the Ballon d'Or frontrunner in trader consensus. Standout World Cup scoring for England further elevated his standing after the July tournament. Lamine Yamal follows at 16.1% on the back of creative output and key contributions for Spain, while Rodri at 8.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 7.6% trail amid comparatively modest team outcomes and individual tallies this cycle. Lower probabilities for veterans like Lionel Messi reflect sustained but less dominant recent form relative to Kane's peak output.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 59.3%
Lamine Yamal 16.1%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.5%
$28,290,025 Vol.
$28,290,025 Vol.
31 ott 2026
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 59.3%
Lamine Yamal 16.1%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.5%
$28,290,025 Vol.
$28,290,025 Vol.
31 ott 2026
Harry Kane
$3,290,925 Vol.
59%
Lamine Yamal
$1,781,824 Vol.
16%
Rodri
$1,042,541 Vol.
9%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,539,403 Vol.
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$1,067,258 Vol.
5%
Lionel Messi
$1,886,373 Vol.
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,765,788 Vol.
2%
Fabian Ruiz
$839,881 Vol.
1%
Erling Haaland
$1,135,313 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,010,763 Vol.
<1%
Michael Olise
$1,075,046 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$799,662 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$679,670 Vol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$789,438 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,057,654 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,066,431 Vol.
<1%
Pedri
$879,645 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$678,611 Vol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$731,885 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$694,097 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$708,049 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$486,133 Vol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$457,373 Vol.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$66,071 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$446,646 Vol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$732,298 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$739,023 Vol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$439,280 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,271 Vol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$88,121 Vol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$147,747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane's record-shattering 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich, featuring 73 goals and 81 goal involvements across competitions plus Bundesliga and European Golden Shoe honors, underpins his 59.4% implied probability as the Ballon d'Or frontrunner in trader consensus. Standout World Cup scoring for England further elevated his standing after the July tournament. Lamine Yamal follows at 16.1% on the back of creative output and key contributions for Spain, while Rodri at 8.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 7.6% trail amid comparatively modest team outcomes and individual tallies this cycle. Lower probabilities for veterans like Lionel Messi reflect sustained but less dominant recent form relative to Kane's peak output.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$28,290,025Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane's record-shattering 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich, featuring 73 goals and 81 goal involvements across competitions plus Bundesliga and European Golden Shoe honors, underpins his 59.4% implied probability as the Ballon d'Or frontrunner in trader consensus. Standout World Cup scoring for England further elevated his standing after the July tournament. Lamine Yamal follows at 16.1% on the back of creative output and key contributions for Spain, while Rodri at 8.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 7.6% trail amid comparatively modest team outcomes and individual tallies this cycle. Lower probabilities for veterans like Lionel Messi reflect sustained but less dominant recent form relative to Kane's peak output.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$28,290,025Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane's record-shattering 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich, featuring 73 goals and 81 goal involvements across competitions plus Bundesliga and European Golden Shoe honors, underpins his 59.4% implied probability as the Ballon d'Or frontrunner in trader consensus. Standout World Cup scoring for England further elevated his standing after the July tournament. Lamine Yamal follows at 16.1% on the back of creative output and key contributions for Spain, while Rodri at 8.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 7.6% trail amid comparatively modest team outcomes and individual tallies this cycle. Lower probabilities for veterans like Lionel Messi reflect sustained but less dominant recent form relative to Kane's peak output.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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