Harry Kane leads the Ballon d’Or 2026 market at 61.2% implied probability after a dominant 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich that included a Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and prolific goal tallies across all competitions. His strong showing at the 2026 World Cup, where England advanced deep, has further solidified trader consensus around the England captain. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.2% on the strength of Spain’s World Cup victory and continued standout club form at Barcelona, while Rodri at 8.5% benefits from the same tournament success and midfield control. Kylian Mbappé trails at 6.3% amid France’s earlier exit, with remaining contenders reflecting narrower paths tied to individual or team outcomes in major competitions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 61.2%
Lamine Yamal 15.2%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 6.3%
$28,858,438 Vol.
$28,858,438 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 61.2%
Lamine Yamal 15.2%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 6.3%
$28,858,438 Vol.
$28,858,438 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d’Or 2026 market at 61.2% implied probability after a dominant 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich that included a Bundesliga title, DFB-Pokal, and prolific goal tallies across all competitions. His strong showing at the 2026 World Cup, where England advanced deep, has further solidified trader consensus around the England captain. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.2% on the strength of Spain’s World Cup victory and continued standout club form at Barcelona, while Rodri at 8.5% benefits from the same tournament success and midfield control. Kylian Mbappé trails at 6.3% amid France’s earlier exit, with remaining contenders reflecting narrower paths tied to individual or team outcomes in major competitions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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