Harry Kane's record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich—highlighted by 73 goals across 64 matches, the Bundesliga Golden Boot, and a domestic double—has established him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 62.1% implied probability. Spain's World Cup triumph boosted Lamine Yamal and Rodri initially through standout contributions and collective success, yet their shares have stabilized at 17.4% and 7.5% as club form weighs heavily in the post-tournament period. Kylian Mbappé and others trail further behind amid more modest individual tallies or team outcomes during the August 2025–July 2026 eligibility window. The market reflects emphasis on sustained scoring volume and silverware over tournament peaks alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 62.1%
Lamine Yamal 17.4%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.1%
$30,016,415 Vol.
$30,016,415 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
17%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 62.1%
Lamine Yamal 17.4%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.1%
$30,016,415 Vol.
$30,016,415 Vol.
Harry Kane
62%
Lamine Yamal
17%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
3%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane's record-breaking 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich—highlighted by 73 goals across 64 matches, the Bundesliga Golden Boot, and a domestic double—has established him as the clear frontrunner in trader consensus for the 2026 Ballon d'Or at 62.1% implied probability. Spain's World Cup triumph boosted Lamine Yamal and Rodri initially through standout contributions and collective success, yet their shares have stabilized at 17.4% and 7.5% as club form weighs heavily in the post-tournament period. Kylian Mbappé and others trail further behind amid more modest individual tallies or team outcomes during the August 2025–July 2026 eligibility window. The market reflects emphasis on sustained scoring volume and silverware over tournament peaks alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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