Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or after a record-breaking 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich that delivered unprecedented goal tallies, Bundesliga honors, and multiple domestic trophies. His consistent output across club competitions has outweighed England's World Cup results, sustaining his frontrunner status in the post-tournament betting markets. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.5% on the strength of standout Spain performances, including key goals, assists, and dribbling records that highlighted his rapid development. Lower probabilities for Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and others reflect more modest recent form or team outcomes, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in Kane's individual dominance and realistic path to the award based on verified seasonal achievements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 59.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.2%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
$28,283,847 Vol.
$28,283,847 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
2%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 59.5%
Lamine Yamal 16.2%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.4%
$28,283,847 Vol.
$28,283,847 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
7%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
2%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or after a record-breaking 2025/26 campaign at Bayern Munich that delivered unprecedented goal tallies, Bundesliga honors, and multiple domestic trophies. His consistent output across club competitions has outweighed England's World Cup results, sustaining his frontrunner status in the post-tournament betting markets. Lamine Yamal sits second at 16.5% on the strength of standout Spain performances, including key goals, assists, and dribbling records that highlighted his rapid development. Lower probabilities for Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and others reflect more modest recent form or team outcomes, with the wisdom of crowds pricing in Kane's individual dominance and realistic path to the award based on verified seasonal achievements.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti