Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at over 60% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that featured 61 club goals for Bayern Munich, domestic trebles including the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, and six World Cup goals that propelled England to the semifinals. Traders have priced in his unmatched scoring volume and silverware haul across the August 2025-July 2026 eligibility window as decisive. Lamine Yamal sits second after Spain's World Cup success and his continued breakout form at Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé and Rodri trail on the strength of consistent elite output and prior pedigree. Market pricing reflects the weight placed on sustained club dominance over international peaks alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHarry Kane 60.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 9%
$29,059,894 Vol.
$29,059,894 Vol.
31 ott 2026
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 9%
$29,059,894 Vol.
$29,059,894 Vol.
31 ott 2026
Harry Kane
$3,405,498 Vol.
61%
Lamine Yamal
$1,834,252 Vol.
15%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,592,917 Vol.
9%
Rodri
$1,100,664 Vol.
9%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$1,114,869 Vol.
5%
Lionel Messi
$1,926,756 Vol.
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,860,758 Vol.
2%
Fabian Ruiz
$874,553 Vol.
1%
Michael Olise
$1,091,929 Vol.
<1%
Erling Haaland
$1,282,038 Vol.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$1,034,374 Vol.
<1%
Declan Rice
$815,425 Vol.
<1%
Vitinha
$711,822 Vol.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,057,708 Vol.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,067,431 Vol.
<1%
Pedri
$884,675 Vol.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$679,621 Vol.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$732,885 Vol.
<1%
Raphinha
$695,107 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$709,212 Vol.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$487,143 Vol.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$457,373 Vol.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$67,071 Vol.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$447,652 Vol.
<1%
Desire Doue
$733,383 Vol.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$740,043 Vol.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$439,309 Vol.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$168,279 Vol.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$811,282 Vol.
<1%
Rodrygo
$88,121 Vol.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$147,747 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at over 60% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that featured 61 club goals for Bayern Munich, domestic trebles including the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, and six World Cup goals that propelled England to the semifinals. Traders have priced in his unmatched scoring volume and silverware haul across the August 2025-July 2026 eligibility window as decisive. Lamine Yamal sits second after Spain's World Cup success and his continued breakout form at Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé and Rodri trail on the strength of consistent elite output and prior pedigree. Market pricing reflects the weight placed on sustained club dominance over international peaks alone.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$29,059,894Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at over 60% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that featured 61 club goals for Bayern Munich, domestic trebles including the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, and six World Cup goals that propelled England to the semifinals. Traders have priced in his unmatched scoring volume and silverware haul across the August 2025-July 2026 eligibility window as decisive. Lamine Yamal sits second after Spain's World Cup success and his continued breakout form at Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé and Rodri trail on the strength of consistent elite output and prior pedigree. Market pricing reflects the weight placed on sustained club dominance over international peaks alone.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Volume
$29,059,894Data di fine
31 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at over 60% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign that featured 61 club goals for Bayern Munich, domestic trebles including the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, and six World Cup goals that propelled England to the semifinals. Traders have priced in his unmatched scoring volume and silverware haul across the August 2025-July 2026 eligibility window as decisive. Lamine Yamal sits second after Spain's World Cup success and his continued breakout form at Barcelona, while Kylian Mbappé and Rodri trail on the strength of consistent elite output and prior pedigree. Market pricing reflects the weight placed on sustained club dominance over international peaks alone.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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