The 69.5% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 reflects persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East energy shock, which lifted March CPI to 3.3% and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April meeting by an 8-1 vote. One member dissented in favor of a 25 basis-point increase, citing risks of second-round wage and price effects. Recent Reuters polls show the share of economists expecting at least one hike by year-end rising to nearly 40%, up sharply from prior surveys, as the BoE's May Monetary Policy Report outlined scenarios with inflation potentially climbing above 6% if oil prices remain elevated. Traders are pricing in a state-contingent policy path ahead of the June 18 decision and fresh CPI data, with futures markets now embedding modest tightening rather than further cuts from the current 3.75% level.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$27,500 Vol.
$27,500 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$27,500 Vol.
$27,500 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 69.5% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 reflects persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East energy shock, which lifted March CPI to 3.3% and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April meeting by an 8-1 vote. One member dissented in favor of a 25 basis-point increase, citing risks of second-round wage and price effects. Recent Reuters polls show the share of economists expecting at least one hike by year-end rising to nearly 40%, up sharply from prior surveys, as the BoE's May Monetary Policy Report outlined scenarios with inflation potentially climbing above 6% if oil prices remain elevated. Traders are pricing in a state-contingent policy path ahead of the June 18 decision and fresh CPI data, with futures markets now embedding modest tightening rather than further cuts from the current 3.75% level.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$27,500Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 69.5% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 reflects persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East energy shock, which lifted March CPI to 3.3% and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April meeting by an 8-1 vote. One member dissented in favor of a 25 basis-point increase, citing risks of second-round wage and price effects. Recent Reuters polls show the share of economists expecting at least one hike by year-end rising to nearly 40%, up sharply from prior surveys, as the BoE's May Monetary Policy Report outlined scenarios with inflation potentially climbing above 6% if oil prices remain elevated. Traders are pricing in a state-contingent policy path ahead of the June 18 decision and fresh CPI data, with futures markets now embedding modest tightening rather than further cuts from the current 3.75% level.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,500Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 69.5% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026 reflects persistent inflation pressures from the Middle East energy shock, which lifted March CPI to 3.3% and prompted the MPC to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% in its April meeting by an 8-1 vote. One member dissented in favor of a 25 basis-point increase, citing risks of second-round wage and price effects. Recent Reuters polls show the share of economists expecting at least one hike by year-end rising to nearly 40%, up sharply from prior surveys, as the BoE's May Monetary Policy Report outlined scenarios with inflation potentially climbing above 6% if oil prices remain elevated. Traders are pricing in a state-contingent policy path ahead of the June 18 decision and fresh CPI data, with futures markets now embedding modest tightening rather than further cuts from the current 3.75% level.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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