The Bank of England’s July 2026 decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Inflation eased to 2.6%, with moderating core pressures and near-stall growth supporting the majority’s data-dependent stance and medium-term return to the 2% target. Geopolitical energy shocks have introduced upside risks, prompting three MPC members to favor a 25-basis-point tightening, yet forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for further tightening at the September, November, and December meetings. This cautious consensus aligns with analyst forecasts expecting rates to remain unchanged through 2026 amid a loosening labor market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
28% probabilità
$46,853 Vol.
$46,853 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
28% probabilità
$46,853 Vol.
$46,853 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bank of England’s July 2026 decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Inflation eased to 2.6%, with moderating core pressures and near-stall growth supporting the majority’s data-dependent stance and medium-term return to the 2% target. Geopolitical energy shocks have introduced upside risks, prompting three MPC members to favor a 25-basis-point tightening, yet forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for further tightening at the September, November, and December meetings. This cautious consensus aligns with analyst forecasts expecting rates to remain unchanged through 2026 amid a loosening labor market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$46,853Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Bank of England’s July 2026 decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Inflation eased to 2.6%, with moderating core pressures and near-stall growth supporting the majority’s data-dependent stance and medium-term return to the 2% target. Geopolitical energy shocks have introduced upside risks, prompting three MPC members to favor a 25-basis-point tightening, yet forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for further tightening at the September, November, and December meetings. This cautious consensus aligns with analyst forecasts expecting rates to remain unchanged through 2026 amid a loosening labor market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,853Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Bank of England’s July 2026 decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% on a 6-3 vote underpins the 72.5% market-implied probability against a hike through year-end. Inflation eased to 2.6%, with moderating core pressures and near-stall growth supporting the majority’s data-dependent stance and medium-term return to the 2% target. Geopolitical energy shocks have introduced upside risks, prompting three MPC members to favor a 25-basis-point tightening, yet forward curves and trader positioning reflect limited scope for further tightening at the September, November, and December meetings. This cautious consensus aligns with analyst forecasts expecting rates to remain unchanged through 2026 amid a loosening labor market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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