Persistent inflationary pressures from elevated energy prices, driven by Middle East conflict escalation, have shifted trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. March 2026 CPI rising to 3.3% prompted the Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% in its April decision, with one member dissenting in favor of an immediate 25 basis point increase amid concerns over second-round wage and price effects. Market-implied forward curves now embed a higher path for policy rates through 2027, reflecting tightened financial conditions and revised economic projections that prioritize returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and April CPI data, which could further influence expectations if energy shocks persist.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$27,500 Vol.
$27,500 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$27,500 Vol.
$27,500 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflationary pressures from elevated energy prices, driven by Middle East conflict escalation, have shifted trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. March 2026 CPI rising to 3.3% prompted the Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% in its April decision, with one member dissenting in favor of an immediate 25 basis point increase amid concerns over second-round wage and price effects. Market-implied forward curves now embed a higher path for policy rates through 2027, reflecting tightened financial conditions and revised economic projections that prioritize returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and April CPI data, which could further influence expectations if energy shocks persist.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$27,500Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflationary pressures from elevated energy prices, driven by Middle East conflict escalation, have shifted trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. March 2026 CPI rising to 3.3% prompted the Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% in its April decision, with one member dissenting in favor of an immediate 25 basis point increase amid concerns over second-round wage and price effects. Market-implied forward curves now embed a higher path for policy rates through 2027, reflecting tightened financial conditions and revised economic projections that prioritize returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and April CPI data, which could further influence expectations if energy shocks persist.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,500Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflationary pressures from elevated energy prices, driven by Middle East conflict escalation, have shifted trader consensus toward a 70% implied probability of a Bank of England rate hike in 2026. March 2026 CPI rising to 3.3% prompted the Monetary Policy Committee to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% in its April decision, with one member dissenting in favor of an immediate 25 basis point increase amid concerns over second-round wage and price effects. Market-implied forward curves now embed a higher path for policy rates through 2027, reflecting tightened financial conditions and revised economic projections that prioritize returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 MPC meeting and April CPI data, which could further influence expectations if energy shocks persist.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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