Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have driven UK CPI to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30 while one MPC member dissented in favor of an immediate 25 basis point hike. This shift has reversed earlier trader expectations for cuts, with futures markets now pricing as many as three increases through year-end amid upside risks to second-round inflation effects. The implied probability of at least one Bank Rate hike by December 31, 2026, stands at 80.5%, reflecting aggregated sentiment that persistent inflation above the 2% target will force tighter policy. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision and forthcoming CPI releases, which will clarify whether the energy shock translates into sustained wage and price pressures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$27,800 Vol.
$27,800 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$27,800 Vol.
$27,800 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have driven UK CPI to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30 while one MPC member dissented in favor of an immediate 25 basis point hike. This shift has reversed earlier trader expectations for cuts, with futures markets now pricing as many as three increases through year-end amid upside risks to second-round inflation effects. The implied probability of at least one Bank Rate hike by December 31, 2026, stands at 80.5%, reflecting aggregated sentiment that persistent inflation above the 2% target will force tighter policy. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision and forthcoming CPI releases, which will clarify whether the energy shock translates into sustained wage and price pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$27,800Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have driven UK CPI to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30 while one MPC member dissented in favor of an immediate 25 basis point hike. This shift has reversed earlier trader expectations for cuts, with futures markets now pricing as many as three increases through year-end amid upside risks to second-round inflation effects. The implied probability of at least one Bank Rate hike by December 31, 2026, stands at 80.5%, reflecting aggregated sentiment that persistent inflation above the 2% target will force tighter policy. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision and forthcoming CPI releases, which will clarify whether the energy shock translates into sustained wage and price pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of England's Bank Rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,800Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 26, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East conflict have driven UK CPI to 3.3% as of March 2026, prompting the Bank of England to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% on April 30 while one MPC member dissented in favor of an immediate 25 basis point hike. This shift has reversed earlier trader expectations for cuts, with futures markets now pricing as many as three increases through year-end amid upside risks to second-round inflation effects. The implied probability of at least one Bank Rate hike by December 31, 2026, stands at 80.5%, reflecting aggregated sentiment that persistent inflation above the 2% target will force tighter policy. Key near-term catalysts include the June 18 Monetary Policy Committee decision and forthcoming CPI releases, which will clarify whether the energy shock translates into sustained wage and price pressures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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