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Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC

Caroline Elliott 76%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%

Yuri Fulmer 6.3%

Iain Black 4.3%

Polymarket

$170,598 Vol.

Caroline Elliott 76%

Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.2%

Yuri Fulmer 6.3%

Iain Black 4.3%

Polymarket

$170,598 Vol.

icon for Caroline Elliott

Caroline Elliott

$45,634 Vol.

76%

icon for Kerry-Lynne Findlay

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

$21,611 Vol.

13%

icon for Yuri Fulmer

Yuri Fulmer

$21,750 Vol.

6%

icon for Iain Black

Iain Black

$19,340 Vol.

4%

icon for Peter Milobar

Peter Milobar

$19,667 Vol.

4%

icon for Bruce Banman

Bruce Banman

$12,001 Vol.

<1%

icon for Harman Bhangu

Harman Bhangu

$13,621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Warren Hamm

Warren Hamm

$8,423 Vol.

<1%

icon for Darrell Jones

Darrell Jones

$8,551 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, driven by her lead in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members (31%) amid high ballot exhaustion benefiting frontrunners in the preferential voting system, recent high-profile endorsements from figures like Gordon Campbell and Stockwell Day, and superior fundraising enabling broad campaign reach. Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds second at 13.1% as a "true blue" alternative with federal MP experience appealing to ideological voters, while Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar trail amid final debate clashes and voter verification challenges using a U.S. firm. With membership cutoff passed at over 42,000 and results due May 30, late momentum or turnout could narrow the gap in this closely watched race to challenge the NDP government.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$170,598
Data di fine
30 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.Trader consensus heavily favors Caroline Elliott at 76% implied probability to win the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership, driven by her lead in the May 4 Pallas Data poll of party members (31%) amid high ballot exhaustion benefiting frontrunners in the preferential voting system, recent high-profile endorsements from figures like Gordon Campbell and Stockwell Day, and superior fundraising enabling broad campaign reach. Kerry-Lynne Findlay holds second at 13.1% as a "true blue" alternative with federal MP experience appealing to ideological voters, while Yuri Fulmer, Iain Black, and Peter Milobar trail amid final debate clashes and voter verification challenges using a U.S. firm. With membership cutoff passed at over 42,000 and results due May 30, late momentum or turnout could narrow the gap in this closely watched race to challenge the NDP government.

The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Volume
$170,598
Data di fine
30 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election is currently scheduled to be held on May 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Caroline Elliott" a 76%, seguito da "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 76¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC" ha generato $170.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 6, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC" è "Caroline Elliott" a 76%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 76% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kerry-Lynne Findlay" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.