The Palme d'Or race at Cannes sits in a tight contest among veteran auteurs, with HOPE from Na Hong-jin holding a slim edge over Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND at market-implied odds near 27% and 26%. Traders appear to factor in each director’s established festival pedigree, thematic depth, and narrative ambition when assessing frontrunner potential. Differentiating elements include the blend of genre experimentation and social commentary across the field, plus the international diversity of the slate. Historical jury patterns favor bold, auteur-driven entries that deliver strong screenings and critical resonance, leaving room for late momentum shifts once the competition films premiere and press reactions emerge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin 27%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 19.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 mag 2026
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
27%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
27%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
19%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
13%
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
12%
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
19%
MOULIN by László NEMES
4%
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
4%
A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET
4%
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
4%
PAPER TIGER di James GRAY
4%
THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS
4%
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
4%
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
3%
ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY
3%
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
3%
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
3%
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
3%
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
2%
EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)
2%
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
<1%
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI 27%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin 27%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI 19.0%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 mag 2026
FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI
$880 Vol.
27%
HOPE by NA Hong-jin
$1,826 Vol.
27%
MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV
$876 Vol.
20%
LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI
$278 Vol.
19%
ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke
$710 Vol.
13%
DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH
$38 Vol.
12%
FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU
$192 Vol.
19%
MOULIN by László NEMES
$103 Vol.
4%
THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS
$103 Vol.
4%
A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET
$103 Vol.
4%
GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER
$119 Vol.
4%
PAPER TIGER di James GRAY
$61 Vol.
4%
THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS
$103 Vol.
4%
THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI
$304 Vol.
4%
COWARD by Lukas DHONT
$171 Vol.
3%
ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY
$104 Vol.
3%
AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR
$162 Vol.
3%
PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI
$621 Vol.
3%
SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu
$1,154 Vol.
3%
NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE
$113 Vol.
2%
EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)
$111 Vol.
2%
NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji
$72 Vol.
<1%
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Palme d'Or race at Cannes sits in a tight contest among veteran auteurs, with HOPE from Na Hong-jin holding a slim edge over Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND at market-implied odds near 27% and 26%. Traders appear to factor in each director’s established festival pedigree, thematic depth, and narrative ambition when assessing frontrunner potential. Differentiating elements include the blend of genre experimentation and social commentary across the field, plus the international diversity of the slate. Historical jury patterns favor bold, auteur-driven entries that deliver strong screenings and critical resonance, leaving room for late momentum shifts once the competition films premiere and press reactions emerge.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$8,206Data di fine
23 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Palme d'Or race at Cannes sits in a tight contest among veteran auteurs, with HOPE from Na Hong-jin holding a slim edge over Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND at market-implied odds near 27% and 26%. Traders appear to factor in each director’s established festival pedigree, thematic depth, and narrative ambition when assessing frontrunner potential. Differentiating elements include the blend of genre experimentation and social commentary across the field, plus the international diversity of the slate. Historical jury patterns favor bold, auteur-driven entries that deliver strong screenings and critical resonance, leaving room for late momentum shifts once the competition films premiere and press reactions emerge.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,206Data di fine
23 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Palme d'Or race at Cannes sits in a tight contest among veteran auteurs, with HOPE from Na Hong-jin holding a slim edge over Pawel Pawlikowski’s FATHERLAND at market-implied odds near 27% and 26%. Traders appear to factor in each director’s established festival pedigree, thematic depth, and narrative ambition when assessing frontrunner potential. Differentiating elements include the blend of genre experimentation and social commentary across the field, plus the international diversity of the slate. Historical jury patterns favor bold, auteur-driven entries that deliver strong screenings and critical resonance, leaving room for late momentum shifts once the competition films premiere and press reactions emerge.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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