Christine Lagarde’s eight-year term as European Central Bank president runs until October 2027, and recent statements have reinforced expectations she will remain in office through 2026. In July 2026 she described an early exit as possible ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election but pledged not to leave before year-end, following earlier reports of potential departure linked to domestic political timing. She continues to conduct official ECB business, including monetary-policy updates and international appearances, with no formal resignation, nomination process, or institutional signals confirming a 2026 vacancy. European Council appointment procedures and the absence of acute political pressure have supported the trader consensus that she will complete the calendar year in the role.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
28% probabilità
$20,005 Vol.
$20,005 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
28% probabilità
$20,005 Vol.
$20,005 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s eight-year term as European Central Bank president runs until October 2027, and recent statements have reinforced expectations she will remain in office through 2026. In July 2026 she described an early exit as possible ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election but pledged not to leave before year-end, following earlier reports of potential departure linked to domestic political timing. She continues to conduct official ECB business, including monetary-policy updates and international appearances, with no formal resignation, nomination process, or institutional signals confirming a 2026 vacancy. European Council appointment procedures and the absence of acute political pressure have supported the trader consensus that she will complete the calendar year in the role.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volume
$20,005Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s eight-year term as European Central Bank president runs until October 2027, and recent statements have reinforced expectations she will remain in office through 2026. In July 2026 she described an early exit as possible ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election but pledged not to leave before year-end, following earlier reports of potential departure linked to domestic political timing. She continues to conduct official ECB business, including monetary-policy updates and international appearances, with no formal resignation, nomination process, or institutional signals confirming a 2026 vacancy. European Council appointment procedures and the absence of acute political pressure have supported the trader consensus that she will complete the calendar year in the role.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$20,005Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Christine Lagarde’s eight-year term as European Central Bank president runs until October 2027, and recent statements have reinforced expectations she will remain in office through 2026. In July 2026 she described an early exit as possible ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election but pledged not to leave before year-end, following earlier reports of potential departure linked to domestic political timing. She continues to conduct official ECB business, including monetary-policy updates and international appearances, with no formal resignation, nomination process, or institutional signals confirming a 2026 vacancy. European Council appointment procedures and the absence of acute political pressure have supported the trader consensus that she will complete the calendar year in the role.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti