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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

James Randall 4.0%

Jess Burns 2.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

James Randall 4.0%

Jess Burns 2.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$477 Vol.

55%

icon for Casey Farrell

Casey Farrell

$438 Vol.

15%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$138 Vol.

4%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$351 Vol.

3%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley Council mayor in Tasmania, holds the leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 27, 2026 local government election. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget adjustments that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO following a national recruitment process, have supported her standing. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without a seconder from other councillors. Lower probabilities assigned to challengers such as Casey Farrell, James Randall, and Jess Burns reflect limited public visibility or organized campaigns ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Trader consensus incorporates these governance and financial developments within the preferential voting framework used for Tasmanian mayoral contests. With nominations still open, confirmed candidate lists and any subsequent campaign activity could shift positioning.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,404
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley Council mayor in Tasmania, holds the leading position in trader pricing ahead of the October 27, 2026 local government election. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget adjustments that returned the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO following a national recruitment process, have supported her standing. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without a seconder from other councillors. Lower probabilities assigned to challengers such as Casey Farrell, James Randall, and Jess Burns reflect limited public visibility or organized campaigns ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Trader consensus incorporates these governance and financial developments within the preferential voting framework used for Tasmanian mayoral contests. With nominations still open, confirmed candidate lists and any subsequent campaign activity could shift positioning.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,404
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Michelle Dracoulis" a 55%, seguito da "Casey Farrell" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 55¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" è "Michelle Dracoulis" a 55%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Casey Farrell" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Derwent Valley" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.