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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport
Politica·Sindaco

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport

Polymarket
NUOVO
Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Alison Jarman

Alison Jarman

$18 Vol.

58%

icon for Steve Martin

Steve Martin

$0 Vol.

39%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Alison Jarman's position as incumbent mayor, backed by recent council achievements including Devonport's fourth straight win as Tasmania's top tourism town and progress on infrastructure such as a new indoor sports stadium and childcare facilities, underpins her 58% implied probability. Steve Martin, a sitting councillor with prior mayoral interest, trails at 38.5% amid a crowded field of other contenders each priced near even money. The tight contest reflects voter focus on local priorities like rates, development, and services ahead of the October 2026 election, where a broad candidate pool and undecided preferences among key voting blocs limit separation. Fresh announcements on budgets, pathway strategies, or community projects could shift sentiment by highlighting delivery records or alternative platforms.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$18
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Alison Jarman's position as incumbent mayor, backed by recent council achievements including Devonport's fourth straight win as Tasmania's top tourism town and progress on infrastructure such as a new indoor sports stadium and childcare facilities, underpins her 58% implied probability. Steve Martin, a sitting councillor with prior mayoral interest, trails at 38.5% amid a crowded field of other contenders each priced near even money. The tight contest reflects voter focus on local priorities like rates, development, and services ahead of the October 2026 election, where a broad candidate pool and undecided preferences among key voting blocs limit separation. Fresh announcements on budgets, pathway strategies, or community projects could shift sentiment by highlighting delivery records or alternative platforms.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$18
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alison Jarman" a 58%, seguito da "Steve Martin" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 58¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport" è "Alison Jarman" a 58%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 58% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Steve Martin" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Devonport" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.