**The current 89% trader consensus against dissolution of the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) in 2026 reflects the recent completion of an electoral cycle and the absence of immediate triggers for another snap election.** Following the collapse of the Schoof cabinet in June 2025 over asylum and immigration disputes that prompted PVV withdrawal from the coalition, King Willem-Alexander dissolved parliament and scheduled early elections for October 29, 2025. A new minority government led by D66’s Rob Jetten was subsequently formed and sworn in on February 23, 2026, after coalition negotiations. As of mid-June 2026, this cabinet continues without reported major internal fractures, no-confidence motions, or policy crises sufficient to force resignation or dissolution under Article 64 of the Dutch Constitution. The four-year term from the 2025 vote points to regular elections in 2029–2030, and traders appear to price in limited near-term risk of premature dissolution absent fresh political breakdowns.