The Traitors’ back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025, paired with its 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series and additional honors for host Alan Cumming and ensemble, have cemented its position as the clear frontrunner in the Emmy category. Traders see the Peacock series’ consistent critical and production edge—highlighted by prior Creative Arts wins in directing, cinematography, and editing—as outweighing the milestone appeal of Survivor’s 50th season or the returns of RuPaul’s Drag Race and Dancing with the Stars. With final-round voting recently concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the 90.7% market-implied probability reflects this established momentum. An upset would require a significant shift in Academy voter sentiment toward one of the other nominees, though historical patterns favor the defending champion.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: serie eccezionale di reality/competizioni
Emmy 2026: serie eccezionale di reality/competizioni
“The Traitors” 90.7%
“Survivor” 5.8%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.5%
“Dancing with the Stars” 2.9%
$27,724 Vol.
$27,724 Vol.
14 set 2026
“The Traitors”
91%
“Survivor”
6%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
3%
“Dancing with the Stars”
3%
“Top Chef”
1%
“The Traitors” 90.7%
“Survivor” 5.8%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.5%
“Dancing with the Stars” 2.9%
$27,724 Vol.
$27,724 Vol.
14 set 2026
“The Traitors”
$11,182 Vol.
91%
“Survivor”
$9,333 Vol.
6%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
$4,030 Vol.
3%
“Dancing with the Stars”
$1,672 Vol.
3%
“Top Chef”
$1,507 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors’ back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025, paired with its 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series and additional honors for host Alan Cumming and ensemble, have cemented its position as the clear frontrunner in the Emmy category. Traders see the Peacock series’ consistent critical and production edge—highlighted by prior Creative Arts wins in directing, cinematography, and editing—as outweighing the milestone appeal of Survivor’s 50th season or the returns of RuPaul’s Drag Race and Dancing with the Stars. With final-round voting recently concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the 90.7% market-implied probability reflects this established momentum. An upset would require a significant shift in Academy voter sentiment toward one of the other nominees, though historical patterns favor the defending champion.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$27,724Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors’ back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025, paired with its 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series and additional honors for host Alan Cumming and ensemble, have cemented its position as the clear frontrunner in the Emmy category. Traders see the Peacock series’ consistent critical and production edge—highlighted by prior Creative Arts wins in directing, cinematography, and editing—as outweighing the milestone appeal of Survivor’s 50th season or the returns of RuPaul’s Drag Race and Dancing with the Stars. With final-round voting recently concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the 90.7% market-implied probability reflects this established momentum. An upset would require a significant shift in Academy voter sentiment toward one of the other nominees, though historical patterns favor the defending champion.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$27,724Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors’ back-to-back wins in 2024 and 2025, paired with its 2026 Critics Choice Real TV Awards sweep for best competition series and additional honors for host Alan Cumming and ensemble, have cemented its position as the clear frontrunner in the Emmy category. Traders see the Peacock series’ consistent critical and production edge—highlighted by prior Creative Arts wins in directing, cinematography, and editing—as outweighing the milestone appeal of Survivor’s 50th season or the returns of RuPaul’s Drag Race and Dancing with the Stars. With final-round voting recently concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the 90.7% market-implied probability reflects this established momentum. An upset would require a significant shift in Academy voter sentiment toward one of the other nominees, though historical patterns favor the defending champion.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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