The United States and Türkiye lead the race for Group D supremacy at the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-host advantage and recent form keep their implied probabilities tightly bunched. The Americans, ranked around 16th, open against Australia and carry momentum from 2-1 friendly wins over both Paraguay and the Socceroos last year, though March losses to Belgium and Portugal exposed defensive vulnerabilities ahead of Mauricio Pochettino's final preparations. Türkiye, sitting near 22nd, earned qualification via playoff success and hold a stylistic edge in midfield battles, while Paraguay and Australia trail as underdogs relying on set-piece threats and organized defending to create upset opportunities in the four-team group.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoStati Uniti 40%
Turchia 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.9%
$44,823 Vol.
$44,823 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Stati Uniti
40%
Turchia
37%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
9%
Stati Uniti 40%
Turchia 37%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.9%
$44,823 Vol.
$44,823 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Stati Uniti
$12,905 Vol.
40%
Turchia
$17,618 Vol.
37%
Paraguay
$8,655 Vol.
18%
Australia
$5,645 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The United States and Türkiye lead the race for Group D supremacy at the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-host advantage and recent form keep their implied probabilities tightly bunched. The Americans, ranked around 16th, open against Australia and carry momentum from 2-1 friendly wins over both Paraguay and the Socceroos last year, though March losses to Belgium and Portugal exposed defensive vulnerabilities ahead of Mauricio Pochettino's final preparations. Türkiye, sitting near 22nd, earned qualification via playoff success and hold a stylistic edge in midfield battles, while Paraguay and Australia trail as underdogs relying on set-piece threats and organized defending to create upset opportunities in the four-team group.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$44,823Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The United States and Türkiye lead the race for Group D supremacy at the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-host advantage and recent form keep their implied probabilities tightly bunched. The Americans, ranked around 16th, open against Australia and carry momentum from 2-1 friendly wins over both Paraguay and the Socceroos last year, though March losses to Belgium and Portugal exposed defensive vulnerabilities ahead of Mauricio Pochettino's final preparations. Türkiye, sitting near 22nd, earned qualification via playoff success and hold a stylistic edge in midfield battles, while Paraguay and Australia trail as underdogs relying on set-piece threats and organized defending to create upset opportunities in the four-team group.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,823Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The United States and Türkiye lead the race for Group D supremacy at the 2026 FIFA World Cup as co-host advantage and recent form keep their implied probabilities tightly bunched. The Americans, ranked around 16th, open against Australia and carry momentum from 2-1 friendly wins over both Paraguay and the Socceroos last year, though March losses to Belgium and Portugal exposed defensive vulnerabilities ahead of Mauricio Pochettino's final preparations. Türkiye, sitting near 22nd, earned qualification via playoff success and hold a stylistic edge in midfield battles, while Paraguay and Australia trail as underdogs relying on set-piece threats and organized defending to create upset opportunities in the four-team group.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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