France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrancia 71%
Norvegia 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq 1.1%
$134,400 Vol.
$134,400 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
71%
Norvegia
22%
Senegal
9%
Iraq
1%
Francia 71%
Norvegia 22%
Senegal 9%
Iraq 1.1%
$134,400 Vol.
$134,400 Vol.
27 giu 2026
Francia
$58,732 Vol.
71%
Norvegia
$15,002 Vol.
22%
Senegal
$17,350 Vol.
9%
Iraq
$43,315 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$134,400Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$134,400Data di fine
27 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France's overwhelming squad depth, led by Kylian Mbappé and a world-class supporting cast including Ousmane Dembélé and Eduardo Camavinga, drives their 70.5% implied probability as Group I favorites, reinforced by unbeaten qualification and vibrant training camps showing no major injuries to stars as of early May. Norway holds steady at 21.5% on Erling Haaland's prolific form (16 qualifying goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, positioning them as credible challengers in this group of death. Senegal slips to 8.5% amid recent fitness concerns for Sadio Mané, Kalidou Koulibaly, and Idrissa Gueye, while Iraq's historic qualification pales at 1.1% against superior Elo ratings and experience. Top two plus best third advance to the round of 32 starting June 16.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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