Randy Fine's commanding position in the Florida 6th congressional district Republican primary reflects his status as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election by double digits and secured 83 percent in that contest's GOP primary against Aaron Baker. Traders have priced in Fine's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4 million raised with over $1 million cash on hand, compared to far smaller totals from challengers including Baker, Dan Bilzerian, and Charles Gambaro. The August 18 primary date leaves little time for shifts, though late developments such as unexpected endorsements, voter turnout changes in key areas, or last-minute campaign events could still influence final results in this solidly Republican district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-06 Vincitore repubblicano delle primarie
FL-06 Vincitore repubblicano delle primarie
Randy Fine 96.2%
Aaron Baker 1.6%
Dan Bilzerian 1.3%
Alexandra Van Cleef <1%
$234,238 Vol.
$234,238 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Randy Fine
96%
Aaron Baker
2%
Dan Bilzerian
1%
Alexandra Van Cleef
1%
Joshua Vasquez
<1%
Charles Gambaro
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
Randy Fine 96.2%
Aaron Baker 1.6%
Dan Bilzerian 1.3%
Alexandra Van Cleef <1%
$234,238 Vol.
$234,238 Vol.
18 ago 2026
Randy Fine
$33,496 Vol.
96%
Aaron Baker
$24,134 Vol.
2%
Dan Bilzerian
$83,992 Vol.
1%
Alexandra Van Cleef
$41,191 Vol.
1%
Joshua Vasquez
$13,607 Vol.
<1%
Charles Gambaro
$17,669 Vol.
<1%
Ernest Audino
$20,148 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's commanding position in the Florida 6th congressional district Republican primary reflects his status as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election by double digits and secured 83 percent in that contest's GOP primary against Aaron Baker. Traders have priced in Fine's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4 million raised with over $1 million cash on hand, compared to far smaller totals from challengers including Baker, Dan Bilzerian, and Charles Gambaro. The August 18 primary date leaves little time for shifts, though late developments such as unexpected endorsements, voter turnout changes in key areas, or last-minute campaign events could still influence final results in this solidly Republican district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Volume
$234,238Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's commanding position in the Florida 6th congressional district Republican primary reflects his status as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election by double digits and secured 83 percent in that contest's GOP primary against Aaron Baker. Traders have priced in Fine's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4 million raised with over $1 million cash on hand, compared to far smaller totals from challengers including Baker, Dan Bilzerian, and Charles Gambaro. The August 18 primary date leaves little time for shifts, though late developments such as unexpected endorsements, voter turnout changes in key areas, or last-minute campaign events could still influence final results in this solidly Republican district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$234,238Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Randy Fine's commanding position in the Florida 6th congressional district Republican primary reflects his status as the incumbent who won the 2025 special election by double digits and secured 83 percent in that contest's GOP primary against Aaron Baker. Traders have priced in Fine's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $4 million raised with over $1 million cash on hand, compared to far smaller totals from challengers including Baker, Dan Bilzerian, and Charles Gambaro. The August 18 primary date leaves little time for shifts, though late developments such as unexpected endorsements, voter turnout changes in key areas, or last-minute campaign events could still influence final results in this solidly Republican district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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