Graham Platner consolidated Democratic support in Maine’s 2026 Senate primary after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, leaving the oyster farmer and veteran as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers including David Costello. Polling in the final weeks showed Platner at 68-72 percent, reflecting his fundraising edge, grassroots endorsements, and voter preference in a low-turnout contest. These factors positioned traders to assign the highest probabilities to a 70-75 percent or 75-80 percent vote share, consistent with the implied consensus that opposition would remain fragmented on primary day. Late developments such as Platner’s public responses to prior controversies did not materially shift the race dynamics before voting concluded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato70-75% 45%
65-70% 5.0%
85-90% 3.5%
<65% 1.6%
$8,131 Vol.
$8,131 Vol.
9 giu 2026
<65%
2%
65-70%
5%
70-75%
48%
75-80%
47%
80-85%
2%
85-90%
4%
90%+
<1%
70-75% 45%
65-70% 5.0%
85-90% 3.5%
<65% 1.6%
$8,131 Vol.
$8,131 Vol.
9 giu 2026
<65%
$1,931 Vol.
2%
65-70%
$1,217 Vol.
5%
70-75%
$1,271 Vol.
48%
75-80%
$1,129 Vol.
47%
80-85%
$1,348 Vol.
2%
85-90%
$671 Vol.
4%
90%+
$872 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner consolidated Democratic support in Maine’s 2026 Senate primary after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, leaving the oyster farmer and veteran as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers including David Costello. Polling in the final weeks showed Platner at 68-72 percent, reflecting his fundraising edge, grassroots endorsements, and voter preference in a low-turnout contest. These factors positioned traders to assign the highest probabilities to a 70-75 percent or 75-80 percent vote share, consistent with the implied consensus that opposition would remain fragmented on primary day. Late developments such as Platner’s public responses to prior controversies did not materially shift the race dynamics before voting concluded.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$8,131Data di fine
9 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner consolidated Democratic support in Maine’s 2026 Senate primary after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, leaving the oyster farmer and veteran as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers including David Costello. Polling in the final weeks showed Platner at 68-72 percent, reflecting his fundraising edge, grassroots endorsements, and voter preference in a low-turnout contest. These factors positioned traders to assign the highest probabilities to a 70-75 percent or 75-80 percent vote share, consistent with the implied consensus that opposition would remain fragmented on primary day. Late developments such as Platner’s public responses to prior controversies did not materially shift the race dynamics before voting concluded.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$8,131Data di fine
9 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Graham Platner consolidated Democratic support in Maine’s 2026 Senate primary after Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign on April 30, leaving the oyster farmer and veteran as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers including David Costello. Polling in the final weeks showed Platner at 68-72 percent, reflecting his fundraising edge, grassroots endorsements, and voter preference in a low-turnout contest. These factors positioned traders to assign the highest probabilities to a 70-75 percent or 75-80 percent vote share, consistent with the implied consensus that opposition would remain fragmented on primary day. Late developments such as Platner’s public responses to prior controversies did not materially shift the race dynamics before voting concluded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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