Trader consensus reflects a 94% implied probability against a hantavirus outbreak by June 30, anchored by the contained nature of a recent multi-country cluster aboard the M/V Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, reported to WHO on May 2. As of May 8, CDC and WHO data confirm six Andes virus cases and two suspected among eight total, with three deaths, but no wider spread despite monitoring of U.S. passengers in over a dozen states. Rodent-borne hantaviruses like Andes virus rarely escalate beyond isolated clusters due to limited human-to-human transmission, aligning with historical U.S. patterns of roughly 30 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. WHO deems global risk low; escalation would require confirmed secondary chains or new foci, with surveillance updates expected soon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEpidemia di hantavirus entro il 30 giugno?
Epidemia di hantavirus entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$25,533 Vol.
$25,533 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$25,533 Vol.
$25,533 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects a 94% implied probability against a hantavirus outbreak by June 30, anchored by the contained nature of a recent multi-country cluster aboard the M/V Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, reported to WHO on May 2. As of May 8, CDC and WHO data confirm six Andes virus cases and two suspected among eight total, with three deaths, but no wider spread despite monitoring of U.S. passengers in over a dozen states. Rodent-borne hantaviruses like Andes virus rarely escalate beyond isolated clusters due to limited human-to-human transmission, aligning with historical U.S. patterns of roughly 30 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. WHO deems global risk low; escalation would require confirmed secondary chains or new foci, with surveillance updates expected soon.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$25,533Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects a 94% implied probability against a hantavirus outbreak by June 30, anchored by the contained nature of a recent multi-country cluster aboard the M/V Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, reported to WHO on May 2. As of May 8, CDC and WHO data confirm six Andes virus cases and two suspected among eight total, with three deaths, but no wider spread despite monitoring of U.S. passengers in over a dozen states. Rodent-borne hantaviruses like Andes virus rarely escalate beyond isolated clusters due to limited human-to-human transmission, aligning with historical U.S. patterns of roughly 30 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. WHO deems global risk low; escalation would require confirmed secondary chains or new foci, with surveillance updates expected soon.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,533Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 94% implied probability against a hantavirus outbreak by June 30, anchored by the contained nature of a recent multi-country cluster aboard the M/V Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, reported to WHO on May 2. As of May 8, CDC and WHO data confirm six Andes virus cases and two suspected among eight total, with three deaths, but no wider spread despite monitoring of U.S. passengers in over a dozen states. Rodent-borne hantaviruses like Andes virus rarely escalate beyond isolated clusters due to limited human-to-human transmission, aligning with historical U.S. patterns of roughly 30 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases. WHO deems global risk low; escalation would require confirmed secondary chains or new foci, with surveillance updates expected soon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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