Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, triggering immediate activation of constitutional succession procedures through a temporary leadership council. The Assembly of Experts then selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as the new supreme leader in early March, completing the transition within days. This rapid process amid ongoing regional conflict and internal security measures has shaped trader assessments of timing and stability. Limited public visibility of the successor since the vote, combined with reports of injuries sustained in the strikes, has kept focus on institutional continuity versus potential further shifts in authority or policy direction through the remainder of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$23,473,646 Vol.
15 ago 2026
15 agosto
<1%
22 agosto
1%
31 agosto
2%
30 settembre
6%
31 ottobre
10%
30 novembre
13%
31 dicembre
18%
30 giugno 2027
26%
$23,473,646 Vol.
15 agosto
$60,914 Vol.
<1%
22 agosto
$28,815 Vol.
1%
31 agosto
$1,148,431 Vol.
2%
30 settembre
$438,584 Vol.
6%
31 ottobre
$8,752 Vol.
10%
30 novembre
$9,572 Vol.
13%
31 dicembre
$3,995,342 Vol.
18%
30 giugno 2027
$236,858 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, triggering immediate activation of constitutional succession procedures through a temporary leadership council. The Assembly of Experts then selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as the new supreme leader in early March, completing the transition within days. This rapid process amid ongoing regional conflict and internal security measures has shaped trader assessments of timing and stability. Limited public visibility of the successor since the vote, combined with reports of injuries sustained in the strikes, has kept focus on institutional continuity versus potential further shifts in authority or policy direction through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volume
$23,473,646Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, triggering immediate activation of constitutional succession procedures through a temporary leadership council. The Assembly of Experts then selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as the new supreme leader in early March, completing the transition within days. This rapid process amid ongoing regional conflict and internal security measures has shaped trader assessments of timing and stability. Limited public visibility of the successor since the vote, combined with reports of injuries sustained in the strikes, has kept focus on institutional continuity versus potential further shifts in authority or policy direction through the remainder of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$23,473,646Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, 2026, triggering immediate activation of constitutional succession procedures through a temporary leadership council. The Assembly of Experts then selected his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as the new supreme leader in early March, completing the transition within days. This rapid process amid ongoing regional conflict and internal security measures has shaped trader assessments of timing and stability. Limited public visibility of the successor since the vote, combined with reports of injuries sustained in the strikes, has kept focus on institutional continuity versus potential further shifts in authority or policy direction through the remainder of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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