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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston
Politica·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston

Matthew Garwood 54%

Kyle Barrett 20%

Tim Walker 9%

Paul Mallett 2.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Matthew Garwood 54%

Kyle Barrett 20%

Tim Walker 9%

Paul Mallett 2.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Matthew Garwood

Matthew Garwood

$62 Vol.

54%

icon for Kyle Barrett

Kyle Barrett

$446 Vol.

20%

icon for Tim Walker

Tim Walker

$94 Vol.

9%

icon for Paul Mallett

Paul Mallett

$539 Vol.

2%

icon for Rose Diamond

Rose Diamond

$882 Vol.

<1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a modest lead in trader pricing ahead of the October 2026 Launceston mayoral contest, while a large field of declared and potential candidates keeps most other names clustered near even odds.** Nominations open on 7 September and close on 21 September, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to who ultimately stands. Kyle Barrett, a real estate agent and former Garwood supporter, has positioned himself as a pro-development, fiscally conservative challenger focused on curbing project cost overruns, lowering rates, and introducing stronger ethics rules. Other sitting councillors and independents add further fragmentation. Preferential voting and the absence of party endorsements typical in Tasmanian local elections mean early positioning, candidate withdrawals, and any late announcements on spending or integrity issues remain the main variables that could widen or narrow the current tight consensus.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$2,024
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).**Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a modest lead in trader pricing ahead of the October 2026 Launceston mayoral contest, while a large field of declared and potential candidates keeps most other names clustered near even odds.** Nominations open on 7 September and close on 21 September, leaving the outcome highly sensitive to who ultimately stands. Kyle Barrett, a real estate agent and former Garwood supporter, has positioned himself as a pro-development, fiscally conservative challenger focused on curbing project cost overruns, lowering rates, and introducing stronger ethics rules. Other sitting councillors and independents add further fragmentation. Preferential voting and the absence of party endorsements typical in Tasmanian local elections mean early positioning, candidate withdrawals, and any late announcements on spending or integrity issues remain the main variables that could widen or narrow the current tight consensus.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$2,024
Data di fine
28 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Matthew Garwood" a 54%, seguito da "Kyle Barrett" a 20%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 54¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 3, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston" è "Matthew Garwood" a 54%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 54% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Kyle Barrett" a 20%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Launceston" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.