**Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas.** He and his wife remain detained at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty; the next hearing is scheduled for June 30. Prosecutors cite a superseding indictment detailing alleged cartel operations, exposing him to potential life terms if convicted, yet defense arguments on head-of-state immunity, abduction jurisdiction, and POW status introduce substantial procedural uncertainty. Comparable cases, such as Manuel Noriega’s 40-year sentence, provide limited precedent. Current trader pricing—led by “no prison time” at 36.5 percent ahead of “60+” at 24.5 percent—reflects this pre-trial balance between possible acquittal, dismissal, plea resolution, or lengthy conviction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNo prison time 36%
60+ 26%
20–40 20.0%
40–60 7.5%
$596,617 Vol.
$596,617 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No prison time
36%
<20
6%
20–40
20%
40–60
8%
60+
26%
No prison time 36%
60+ 26%
20–40 20.0%
40–60 7.5%
$596,617 Vol.
$596,617 Vol.
31 dic 2027
No prison time
$386,137 Vol.
36%
<20
$100,831 Vol.
6%
20–40
$50,881 Vol.
20%
40–60
$20,843 Vol.
8%
60+
$37,925 Vol.
26%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas.** He and his wife remain detained at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty; the next hearing is scheduled for June 30. Prosecutors cite a superseding indictment detailing alleged cartel operations, exposing him to potential life terms if convicted, yet defense arguments on head-of-state immunity, abduction jurisdiction, and POW status introduce substantial procedural uncertainty. Comparable cases, such as Manuel Noriega’s 40-year sentence, provide limited precedent. Current trader pricing—led by “no prison time” at 36.5 percent ahead of “60+” at 24.5 percent—reflects this pre-trial balance between possible acquittal, dismissal, plea resolution, or lengthy conviction.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Volume
$596,617Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas.** He and his wife remain detained at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty; the next hearing is scheduled for June 30. Prosecutors cite a superseding indictment detailing alleged cartel operations, exposing him to potential life terms if convicted, yet defense arguments on head-of-state immunity, abduction jurisdiction, and POW status introduce substantial procedural uncertainty. Comparable cases, such as Manuel Noriega’s 40-year sentence, provide limited precedent. Current trader pricing—led by “no prison time” at 36.5 percent ahead of “60+” at 24.5 percent—reflects this pre-trial balance between possible acquittal, dismissal, plea resolution, or lengthy conviction.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$596,617Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Maduro faces U.S. federal narco-terrorism and cocaine importation charges in the Southern District of New York following his January 3, 2026 capture by U.S. forces in Caracas.** He and his wife remain detained at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty; the next hearing is scheduled for June 30. Prosecutors cite a superseding indictment detailing alleged cartel operations, exposing him to potential life terms if convicted, yet defense arguments on head-of-state immunity, abduction jurisdiction, and POW status introduce substantial procedural uncertainty. Comparable cases, such as Manuel Noriega’s 40-year sentence, provide limited precedent. Current trader pricing—led by “no prison time” at 36.5 percent ahead of “60+” at 24.5 percent—reflects this pre-trial balance between possible acquittal, dismissal, plea resolution, or lengthy conviction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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