Skip to main content
icon for New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Politica·Midterms

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

icon for New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
Politica·Midterms

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

Polymarket

$16,343 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,343 Vol.

icon for Republican

Republican

$7,417 Vol.

81%

icon for Democrat

Democrat

$8,927 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge over Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington in New Hampshire’s 2026 gubernatorial contest, with recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire showing her ahead by 5–11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s advantage stems from her incumbency after winning the open seat in 2024, combined with New Hampshire independents shifting toward Republicans in recent executive races and her emphasis on law-and-order measures. Warmington, a former executive councilor seeking the Democratic nomination ahead of the September 8 primary, faces structural headwinds in a state with a two-year gubernatorial term and established GOP advantages in turnout and messaging. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current market pricing that reflects these fundamentals rather than late-cycle volatility.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,343
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear polling edge over Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington in New Hampshire’s 2026 gubernatorial contest, with recent surveys from Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire showing her ahead by 5–11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s advantage stems from her incumbency after winning the open seat in 2024, combined with New Hampshire independents shifting toward Republicans in recent executive races and her emphasis on law-and-order measures. Warmington, a former executive councilor seeking the Democratic nomination ahead of the September 8 primary, faces structural headwinds in a state with a two-year gubernatorial term and established GOP advantages in turnout and messaging. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the current market pricing that reflects these fundamentals rather than late-cycle volatility.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,343
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Correlati

icon for Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del New Hampshire sarà compreso tra 650.000 e 700.000?

Il totale dei voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del New Hampshire sarà compreso tra 650.000 e 700.000?

46%
Sì
icon for Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del Rhode Island sarà pari o superiore a 450.000?

Il numero totale di voti espressi nelle elezioni di metà mandato del 2026 per il Senatore del Rhode Island sarà pari o superiore a 450.000?

46%
Sì
icon for Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30?

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30?

52%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"New Hampshire Governor Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Republican" a 81%, seguito da "Democrat" a 17%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 81¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "New Hampshire Governor Election Winner" ha generato $16.3K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Oct 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "New Hampshire Governor Election Winner", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "New Hampshire Governor Election Winner" è "Republican" a 81%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Democrat" a 17%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "New Hampshire Governor Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.