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icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?
Mondo·Lettonia

Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?

icon for Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?
Mondo·Lettonia

Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?

Andris Kulbergs 81%

Ilze Indriksone 5.1%

Jūlija Stepaņenko 5%

Viktors Valainis 4.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Andris Kulbergs 81%

Ilze Indriksone 5.1%

Jūlija Stepaņenko 5%

Viktors Valainis 4.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Andris Kulbergs

Andris Kulbergs

$2,130 Vol.

81%

icon for Ilze Indriksone

Ilze Indriksone

$107 Vol.

5%

icon for Jūlija Stepaņenko

Jūlija Stepaņenko

$250 Vol.

5%

icon for Viktors Valainis

Viktors Valainis

$132 Vol.

4%

icon for Arvils Ašeradens

Arvils Ašeradens

$106 Vol.

4%

icon for Andris Šuvajevs

Andris Šuvajevs

$152 Vol.

3%

icon for Ainārs Šlesers

Ainārs Šlesers

$281 Vol.

3%

icon for Svetlana Čulkova

Svetlana Čulkova

$146 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andris Kulbergs holds an 80.5% implied probability in the market as the leading candidate for Latvia's next prime minister, reflecting his position as head of the United List alliance and the caretaker coalition formed in May 2026. That government emerged after Evika Siliņa's resignation amid disputes over stray drone incidents and defense readiness, with Kulbergs securing confirmation on a 66-vote parliamentary majority alongside New Unity, National Alliance, and Union of Greens and Farmers. His administration has prioritized border security, anti-drone measures, budget stabilization, and anti-corruption efforts while maintaining pro-EU and pro-NATO policies ahead of the October 3 parliamentary election. Polling trends show the United List gaining ground, positioning Kulbergs as the frontrunner for post-election coalition leadership, though lower odds on figures such as Viktors Valainis and others underscore the competitive nature of final coalition negotiations.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,303
Data di fine
3 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andris Kulbergs holds an 80.5% implied probability in the market as the leading candidate for Latvia's next prime minister, reflecting his position as head of the United List alliance and the caretaker coalition formed in May 2026. That government emerged after Evika Siliņa's resignation amid disputes over stray drone incidents and defense readiness, with Kulbergs securing confirmation on a 66-vote parliamentary majority alongside New Unity, National Alliance, and Union of Greens and Farmers. His administration has prioritized border security, anti-drone measures, budget stabilization, and anti-corruption efforts while maintaining pro-EU and pro-NATO policies ahead of the October 3 parliamentary election. Polling trends show the United List gaining ground, positioning Kulbergs as the frontrunner for post-election coalition leadership, though lower odds on figures such as Viktors Valainis and others underscore the competitive nature of final coalition negotiations.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,303
Data di fine
3 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 11:17 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Andris Kulbergs" a 81%, seguito da "Ilze Indriksone" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 81¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Sep 11, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?" è "Andris Kulbergs" a 81%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 81% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ilze Indriksone" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Il prossimo Primo Ministro della Lettonia?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.