Recent reports confirm José Mourinho as the leading candidate to succeed Álvaro Arbeloa as Real Madrid head coach, with negotiations in final stages and a post-season announcement expected after the La Liga campaign concludes. This follows a turbulent 2025-26 season marked by multiple managerial changes, including Carlo Ancelotti's departure to the Brazil national team and Xabi Alonso's interim role. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing stems from Mourinho's prior Bernabéu success, his availability via a Benfica release clause, and alignment with club president Florentino Pérez's vision for immediate stabilization. Scenarios that could shift implied probabilities include an unexpected contract extension for Arbeloa, a surprise return by Zinedine Zidane, or major club leadership shifts ahead of the May presidential vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJose Mourinho 87.5%
Zinedine Zidane <1%
Massimiliano Allegri <1%
Enzo Maresca <1%
$146,986 Vol.
$146,986 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
87%
Zinedine Zidane
1%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Mauricio Pochettino
1%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Jurgen Klopp
1%
Unai Emery
<1%
Mikel Arteta
<1%
Didier Deschamps
<1%
Luis Enrique
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Jose Mourinho 87.5%
Zinedine Zidane <1%
Massimiliano Allegri <1%
Enzo Maresca <1%
$146,986 Vol.
$146,986 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
87%
Zinedine Zidane
1%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Mauricio Pochettino
1%
Lionel Scaloni
1%
Jurgen Klopp
1%
Unai Emery
<1%
Mikel Arteta
<1%
Didier Deschamps
<1%
Luis Enrique
<1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports confirm José Mourinho as the leading candidate to succeed Álvaro Arbeloa as Real Madrid head coach, with negotiations in final stages and a post-season announcement expected after the La Liga campaign concludes. This follows a turbulent 2025-26 season marked by multiple managerial changes, including Carlo Ancelotti's departure to the Brazil national team and Xabi Alonso's interim role. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing stems from Mourinho's prior Bernabéu success, his availability via a Benfica release clause, and alignment with club president Florentino Pérez's vision for immediate stabilization. Scenarios that could shift implied probabilities include an unexpected contract extension for Arbeloa, a surprise return by Zinedine Zidane, or major club leadership shifts ahead of the May presidential vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti