The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato# di seggi vinti dal PT nelle elezioni legislative thailandesi del 2026?
# di seggi vinti dal PT nelle elezioni legislative thailandesi del 2026?
110+ <1%
$379,536 Vol.
$379,536 Vol.
8 feb 2026
110+
<1%
110+ <1%
$379,536 Vol.
$379,536 Vol.
8 feb 2026
110+
$209,049 Vol.
<1%
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Volume
$379,536Data di fine
8 feb 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Volume
$379,536Data di fine
8 feb 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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