Aaron Rai's commanding position atop the 2026 PGA Championship leaderboard at Aronimink Golf Club has driven the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Strong scoring across the opening rounds, including consistent approach play and recent birdie runs on the back nine, has created separation that the market interprets as a decisive edge heading into the final round. Chasers such as Jon Rahm and Matti Schmid remain within striking distance on the leaderboard, but the wisdom of crowds accounts for the slim margins typical in major finishes and Rai's demonstrated ability to hold leads under pressure. Still, scenarios like a late surge from the pack, adverse weather affecting scoring, or an unexpected final-round collapse could realistically shift the outcome before the tournament concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAaron Rai 92.2%
Jon Rahm 3.8%
Matti Schmid 3.4%
Alex Smalley <1%
$8,447,616 Vol.
$8,447,616 Vol.
Aaron Rai
92%
Jon Rahm
4%
Matti Schmid
3%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Xander Schauffele
1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Aaron Rai 92.2%
Jon Rahm 3.8%
Matti Schmid 3.4%
Alex Smalley <1%
$8,447,616 Vol.
$8,447,616 Vol.
Aaron Rai
92%
Jon Rahm
4%
Matti Schmid
3%
Alex Smalley
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Xander Schauffele
1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Rai's commanding position atop the 2026 PGA Championship leaderboard at Aronimink Golf Club has driven the overwhelming trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Strong scoring across the opening rounds, including consistent approach play and recent birdie runs on the back nine, has created separation that the market interprets as a decisive edge heading into the final round. Chasers such as Jon Rahm and Matti Schmid remain within striking distance on the leaderboard, but the wisdom of crowds accounts for the slim margins typical in major finishes and Rai's demonstrated ability to hold leads under pressure. Still, scenarios like a late surge from the pack, adverse weather affecting scoring, or an unexpected final-round collapse could realistically shift the outcome before the tournament concludes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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