The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched group of contenders driven by current form and major-championship pedigree. Alex Smalley holds the top implied probability after consistent PGA Tour results that have elevated his world ranking, while Jon Rahm and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind thanks to proven ball-striking and prior major contention. Rory McIlroy’s positioning incorporates his extensive PGA history and recent competitive rounds despite fluctuating results this season. The narrow gap among the leaders underscores the depth of the field, where course setup, weather variables, and last-minute fitness updates can quickly alter trajectories in this individual major. Trader consensus continues to weigh recent finishes and historical performance against the inherent unpredictability of a four-round test.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 14.8%
Ludvig Aberg 14.5%
Rory McIlroy 12.4%
$5,844,661 Vol.
$5,844,661 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 17.1%
Jon Rahm 14.8%
Ludvig Aberg 14.5%
Rory McIlroy 12.4%
$5,844,661 Vol.
$5,844,661 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched group of contenders driven by current form and major-championship pedigree. Alex Smalley holds the top implied probability after consistent PGA Tour results that have elevated his world ranking, while Jon Rahm and Ludvig Åberg sit close behind thanks to proven ball-striking and prior major contention. Rory McIlroy’s positioning incorporates his extensive PGA history and recent competitive rounds despite fluctuating results this season. The narrow gap among the leaders underscores the depth of the field, where course setup, weather variables, and last-minute fitness updates can quickly alter trajectories in this individual major. Trader consensus continues to weigh recent finishes and historical performance against the inherent unpredictability of a four-round test.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti