The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJon Rahm 32.6%
Aaron Rai 31.6%
Matti Schmid 12.3%
Alex Smalley 6.6%
$7,878,386 Vol.
$7,878,386 Vol.
18 mag 2026
Jon Rahm
33%
Aaron Rai
32%
Matti Schmid
12%
Alex Smalley
7%
Justin Thomas
6%
Nick Taylor
6%
Ludvig Aberg
3%
Rory McIlroy
3%
Patrick Reed
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 32.6%
Aaron Rai 31.6%
Matti Schmid 12.3%
Alex Smalley 6.6%
$7,878,386 Vol.
$7,878,386 Vol.
18 mag 2026
Jon Rahm
$535,637 Vol.
33%
Aaron Rai
$151,246 Vol.
32%
Matti Schmid
$159,155 Vol.
12%
Alex Smalley
$333,963 Vol.
7%
Justin Thomas
$152,078 Vol.
6%
Nick Taylor
$201,422 Vol.
6%
Ludvig Aberg
$281,420 Vol.
3%
Rory McIlroy
$777,096 Vol.
3%
Patrick Reed
$161,876 Vol.
1%
Ben Griffin
$51,643 Vol.
1%
Cameron Smith
$130,842 Vol.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$493,633 Vol.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$85,713 Vol.
<1%
Justin Rose
$175,014 Vol.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$77,678 Vol.
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
$745,589 Vol.
<1%
Cameron Young
$295,076 Vol.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$162,805 Vol.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,804 Vol.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$125,659 Vol.
<1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 Vol.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$125,192 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 Vol.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 Vol.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 Vol.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,013 Vol.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 Vol.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 Vol.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 Vol.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 Vol.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 Vol.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 Vol.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 Vol.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,751 Vol.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,039 Vol.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 Vol.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 Vol.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$163,744 Vol.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$132,700 Vol.
<1%
Harris English
$59,500 Vol.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 Vol.
<1%
Brian Harman
$3,816 Vol.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 Vol.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 Vol.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 Vol.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 Vol.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,878,386Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,878,386Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities for Aaron Rai at 34.3% and Jon Rahm at 30.3% capture the intense parity among frontrunners in the final round of the PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club. Both golfers have demonstrated strong recent form and major resilience, with Rahm’s experience in high-stakes situations balancing Rai’s consistent ball-striking and momentum. A crowded chase group including Matti Schmid and Alex Smalley, who holds a narrow lead after three sub-70 rounds, adds further uncertainty as late surges, wind conditions, and precise approach play can quickly shift standings. This dynamic underscores how golf majors reward current positioning and mental steadiness over pre-tournament rankings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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