The 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club features a tightly bunched leaderboard that has kept implied probabilities clustered among several contenders through the final rounds. Jon Rahm’s major-winning experience and strong approach play have positioned him at the front of trader consensus, while Ludvig Åberg’s elite tee-to-green metrics and recent ball-striking consistency keep him within striking distance. Rory McIlroy’s history of low major rounds and steady form sustain his share, and Alex Smalley’s surprising co-lead reflects hot recent putting and iron play that has compressed the field. These dynamics highlight how course-specific demands and shifting weekend momentum continue to maintain competitive balance among the top names.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRory McIlroy 25.1%
Matti Schmid 16.0%
Jon Rahm 14.3%
Ludvig Aberg 11.9%
$7,260,935 Vol.
$7,260,935 Vol.
Rory McIlroy
25%
Matti Schmid
16%
Jon Rahm
14%
Ludvig Aberg
12%
Cameron Smith
10%
Nick Taylor
9%
Alex Smalley
6%
Aaron Rai
5%
Justin Thomas
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Justin Rose
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Harris English
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Rory McIlroy 25.1%
Matti Schmid 16.0%
Jon Rahm 14.3%
Ludvig Aberg 11.9%
$7,260,935 Vol.
$7,260,935 Vol.
Rory McIlroy
25%
Matti Schmid
16%
Jon Rahm
14%
Ludvig Aberg
12%
Cameron Smith
10%
Nick Taylor
9%
Alex Smalley
6%
Aaron Rai
5%
Justin Thomas
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Justin Rose
2%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Harris English
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club features a tightly bunched leaderboard that has kept implied probabilities clustered among several contenders through the final rounds. Jon Rahm’s major-winning experience and strong approach play have positioned him at the front of trader consensus, while Ludvig Åberg’s elite tee-to-green metrics and recent ball-striking consistency keep him within striking distance. Rory McIlroy’s history of low major rounds and steady form sustain his share, and Alex Smalley’s surprising co-lead reflects hot recent putting and iron play that has compressed the field. These dynamics highlight how course-specific demands and shifting weekend momentum continue to maintain competitive balance among the top names.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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