The closely bunched implied probabilities at the top of the 2026 PGA Championship market reflect a deep, wide-open field on the PGA Tour with no dominant favorite. Alex Smalley edges the consensus at 16.4 percent, followed within two points by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka sit much lower. Recent form on similar layouts, current world rankings, and major-championship experience continue to drive these tight spreads, as several players have posted strong results in stroke-play events this season and hold proven course-history advantages that keep multiple paths to victory realistic for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJon Rahm 17.4%
Alex Smalley 17.3%
Ludvig Aberg 14.9%
Rory McIlroy 12.4%
$6,686,261 Vol.
$6,686,261 Vol.
Jon Rahm
17%
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Maverick McNealy
5%
Aaron Rai
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Cameron Smith
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Scottie Scheffler
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
David Puig
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Harris English
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 17.4%
Alex Smalley 17.3%
Ludvig Aberg 14.9%
Rory McIlroy 12.4%
$6,686,261 Vol.
$6,686,261 Vol.
Jon Rahm
17%
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Maverick McNealy
5%
Aaron Rai
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Patrick Reed
4%
Cameron Smith
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Scottie Scheffler
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
David Puig
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Harris English
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities at the top of the 2026 PGA Championship market reflect a deep, wide-open field on the PGA Tour with no dominant favorite. Alex Smalley edges the consensus at 16.4 percent, followed within two points by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, while established names like Scottie Scheffler and Brooks Koepka sit much lower. Recent form on similar layouts, current world rankings, and major-championship experience continue to drive these tight spreads, as several players have posted strong results in stroke-play events this season and hold proven course-history advantages that keep multiple paths to victory realistic for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti