The 2026 PGA Championship market shows a tightly bunched group of contenders, with Alex Smalley at 16.8 percent implied probability narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 14.5 percent and Ludvig Aberg at 13.1 percent. Strong recent PGA Tour form, including consistent ball-striking and scoring averages across varied course conditions, keeps these players clustered at the top while historical major results and current world rankings support their positioning. The deep field, combined with the inherent variability of major-championship setups and potential late roster adjustments, prevents any single golfer from pulling clear. Trader consensus reflects this balanced competitive dynamic ahead of the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlex Smalley 16.8%
Jon Rahm 14.5%
Ludvig Aberg 13.1%
Rory McIlroy 12.1%
$5,525,962 Vol.
$5,525,962 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
13%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.8%
Jon Rahm 14.5%
Ludvig Aberg 13.1%
Rory McIlroy 12.1%
$5,525,962 Vol.
$5,525,962 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
13%
Rory McIlroy
12%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PGA Championship market shows a tightly bunched group of contenders, with Alex Smalley at 16.8 percent implied probability narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 14.5 percent and Ludvig Aberg at 13.1 percent. Strong recent PGA Tour form, including consistent ball-striking and scoring averages across varied course conditions, keeps these players clustered at the top while historical major results and current world rankings support their positioning. The deep field, combined with the inherent variability of major-championship setups and potential late roster adjustments, prevents any single golfer from pulling clear. Trader consensus reflects this balanced competitive dynamic ahead of the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti