Alex Smalley holds a slim lead on the 2026 PGA Championship leaderboard entering the final round at Aronimink, but trader consensus reflects a wide-open race among proven major contenders. Ludvig Åberg and Jon Rahm sit just two shots back with elite tee-to-green control and recent strong form, while Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele remain within striking distance after consistent scoring in challenging conditions. Scottie Scheffler and others trail further but retain realistic paths given their track records in high-stakes events. The bunched positioning after 54 holes, combined with home-course familiarity and variable wind, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered as experience and momentum weigh heavily on the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAlex Smalley 16.9%
Jon Rahm 15.3%
Ludvig Aberg 14.8%
Rory McIlroy 12.5%
$5,968,559 Vol.
$5,968,559 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.9%
Jon Rahm 15.3%
Ludvig Aberg 14.8%
Rory McIlroy 12.5%
$5,968,559 Vol.
$5,968,559 Vol.
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
David Puig
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alex Smalley holds a slim lead on the 2026 PGA Championship leaderboard entering the final round at Aronimink, but trader consensus reflects a wide-open race among proven major contenders. Ludvig Åberg and Jon Rahm sit just two shots back with elite tee-to-green control and recent strong form, while Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele remain within striking distance after consistent scoring in challenging conditions. Scottie Scheffler and others trail further but retain realistic paths given their track records in high-stakes events. The bunched positioning after 54 holes, combined with home-course familiarity and variable wind, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered as experience and momentum weigh heavily on the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti