The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched field where Jon Rahm holds a 26.7% implied probability edge over Ludvig Aberg at 19.8%, with Rory McIlroy at 13.6%. This competitive dynamic arises from several players posting strong recent form across PGA Tour events and prior major championship results, combined with favorable course history and consistent world rankings positioning. Aberg’s rapid rise and Rahm’s proven major pedigree keep pressure on established names like McIlroy, while a deep group of contenders with solid recent finishes and no dominant standout prevents any single golfer from pulling away significantly in trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJon Rahm 26.6%
Ludvig Aberg 20.6%
Alex Smalley 15.8%
Rory McIlroy 14.1%
$6,977,077 Vol.
$6,977,077 Vol.
Jon Rahm
27%
Ludvig Aberg
21%
Alex Smalley
16%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Aaron Rai
9%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Nick Taylor
5%
Cameron Smith
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Harris English
1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 26.6%
Ludvig Aberg 20.6%
Alex Smalley 15.8%
Rory McIlroy 14.1%
$6,977,077 Vol.
$6,977,077 Vol.
Jon Rahm
27%
Ludvig Aberg
21%
Alex Smalley
16%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Aaron Rai
9%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Nick Taylor
5%
Cameron Smith
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Joaquin Niemann
3%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Harris English
1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The 2026 PGA Championship winner market reflects a tightly bunched field where Jon Rahm holds a 26.7% implied probability edge over Ludvig Aberg at 19.8%, with Rory McIlroy at 13.6%. This competitive dynamic arises from several players posting strong recent form across PGA Tour events and prior major championship results, combined with favorable course history and consistent world rankings positioning. Aberg’s rapid rise and Rahm’s proven major pedigree keep pressure on established names like McIlroy, while a deep group of contenders with solid recent finishes and no dominant standout prevents any single golfer from pulling away significantly in trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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