Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt shows the Alternative for Germany surging to record levels near 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, widening its lead over the Christian Democratic Union at around 25 percent. This momentum stems from sustained voter support in eastern Germany amid economic pressures and migration concerns, with the AfD on track for the strongest result in any state vote and potentially an outright parliamentary majority. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing attributes high probability to an AfD victory due to these trends and the limited time remaining for shifts. A late swing in turnout among smaller parties or renewed coalition signals from the CDU could still narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni parlamentari Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
$703,187 Vol.
$703,187 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

FDP
<1%

I Verdi
<1%

La Sinistra
<1%

SPD
<1%
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
$703,187 Vol.
$703,187 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

FDP
<1%

I Verdi
<1%

La Sinistra
<1%

SPD
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt shows the Alternative for Germany surging to record levels near 41 percent ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, widening its lead over the Christian Democratic Union at around 25 percent. This momentum stems from sustained voter support in eastern Germany amid economic pressures and migration concerns, with the AfD on track for the strongest result in any state vote and potentially an outright parliamentary majority. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing attributes high probability to an AfD victory due to these trends and the limited time remaining for shifts. A late swing in turnout among smaller parties or renewed coalition signals from the CDU could still narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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