The Somaliland House of Elders approved a 27-month term extension in April 2026 for the House of Representatives and district councils, shifting the parliamentary vote from an original 2026 target to March 2027. Official justifications centered on regional conflicts in Sool, Sanaag, Awdal, and SSC areas, drought conditions, and logistical preparations, with the National Electoral Commission recommendation cited in the formal request. This institutional decision underpins the market's overwhelming consensus that no election will occur before 2027. The three authorized parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and Justice and Welfare (UCID)—remain positioned for the proportional representation contest across six regions, yet the extension creates significant structural barriers to an earlier vote. A sudden security stabilization or reversal by the Guurti could theoretically alter the timeline, though no such developments have materialized.
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